Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 21.054395 24.696409 29.150392 35.126866 43.149331 53.888763 70.014777
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 16.730246 20.851624 26.414598 34.841188 48.052188 69.637281 112.365495
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 14.593652 18.920610 25.160851 35.470695 53.710021 89.155628 182.493033
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 12.697541 16.871538 23.149933 34.139101 55.313685 102.380693 263.195076
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 11.526879 15.656627 22.110996 34.039341 59.052689 123.293344 429.934777
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 10.309119 14.189972 20.399200 32.273569 58.593310 133.432064 607.747934
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 9.214708 12.789810 18.595260 29.944292 56.038552 135.678068 770.833636
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 8.376098 11.714790 17.210710 28.176880 54.284914 139.756248 1027.083889
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.587253 12.349139 18.861881 32.911947 71.381272 243.898088 18737.219635
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.392302 12.278923 19.225029 34.997291 82.646124 360.481936 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.778885 11.432156 18.015398 33.167930 80.199601 377.254633 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 7.561202 11.257422 18.081770 34.438895 89.627834 547.779493 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.146193 10.723234 17.425883 33.900668 92.567605 689.456616 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.807395 10.300946 16.952315 33.757951 97.375473 940.416316 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.566184 10.035105 16.766252 34.352243 106.273962 1536.194280 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.198791 9.508178 15.974911 33.082820 105.167942 1831.460009 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.955410 9.196407 15.612204 32.987640 110.517132 2949.702810 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 5.614836 8.680488 14.762753 31.302045 105.853452 3084.694280 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 5.257542 8.116412 13.772602 29.075308 97.184185 2539.487033 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 4.961578 7.656735 12.985281 27.383173 91.262365 2323.028312 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 5.122311 8.074295 14.157705 31.911676 128.375226 238936.983499 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 5.088958 8.112767 14.485153 33.901235 153.425689 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 4.842249 7.715417 13.764019 32.156055 144.686209 NaN NaN